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Afghanistan: The Longest Lost War
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The reality is that with a bigger
American occupation, with escalating military expenditures, the
Resistance is growing, surrounding the major cities, targeting meetings
in the center of Kabul and rocketing the biggest US military bases
around the country. It is clear that the US has lost the war politically
and is in the process of losing it militarily.
Introduction:
Despite almost a decade of warfare, including an invasion and
occupation, the US military and its allies and client state armed forces
are losing the war in Afghanistan. Outside of the central districts of a
few cities and the military fortresses, the Afghan national resistance
forces, in all of their complex local, regional and national alliances,
are in control, of territory, people and administration.
The
prolonged unending war has become a major drain on the morale of the US
armed forces and undermined civilian support in the US, limiting the
capacity of the White House to launch new imperial wars. The annual
multi-billion dollar military expenditures, are exacerbating the
out-of-control budget deficit and forcing harsh unpopular cuts on social
programs, at all levels of government. There is no end in sight, as the
Obama regime keeps increasing the number of troops by the tens of
thousands and military expenditures by the dozens of billions but the
resistance advances, both military and politically.
Faced with
rising popular discontent and demands for fiscal restraint by a wide
spectrum of banking and citizen groups, Obama and the general command
have sought "partial exit" via the recruitment and training of a large
scale long term Afghan mercenary army and police force under the
direction of US and NATO officers.
The US Strategy: The Making of an Afghan Neocolony
Between 2001-2010 the US military expenditures total $428 billion
dollars; the colonial occupation has led to over 7,228 dead and wounded
as of June 1, 2010. As the US military situation deteriorates, the
White House escalates the number of troops resulting in a greater number
of killed and wounded. During the past 18 months of the Obama regime
more soldiers were killed or wounded than in the previous eight years.
The White House and Pentagon strategy is premised on massive flows
of money, arms and an increase in the number of surrogates, mainly
subsidized warlords and puppet western educated ex-pats. The White House
"development aid" involves, literally, purchasing the transient
loyalties of clan leaders. The White House attempts to give a veneer of
legitimacy by running elections, which enhance the corrupt image of the
incumbent puppet regime in Kabul and its regional associates.
On
the military front, the Pentagon launches one "offensive" after
another, announcing one success after another, followed by a retreat and
return of the Resistance fighters. The US campaigns disrupt trade,
agricultural harvests and markets, while the air assaults targeting
"Taliban" and militants, more frequently than not end up killing more
civilians celebrating weddings, religious holidays and shoppers at
markets than combatants. The reason for the high percentage of civilian
killings is clear to everyone except the US Generals: there are no
distinctions between "militants" and millions of Afghan civilians since
the former are an integral part of their communities.
The key
and ultimately decisive problem facing the US occupation is that it is a
colonial enclave in the midst of a colonized people. The US, its local
puppets and its NATO allies are a foreign colonial army and its Afghan
military and police recruits are seen as mere instruments perpetuating
illegitimate rule. Every action, whether violent or benign, is perceived
and interpreted as transgressing the norms and historical legacies of a
proud and independent people. In everyday life, every move by the
occupation is disruptive; nothing moves except by command of the foreign
directed military and police. Under threat of force, people fake
co-operation and then provide assistance to their fathers, brothers and
sons in the Resistance. The recruits take the money and turn their arms
over to the Resistance. The paid village informants are double agents or
identified by their neighbors and targeted by insurgents.
The
Afghan collaborators, Washington's closest allies, are seen as corrupt
traitors; transient rulers who have their bags packed and US passports
in hand, ready to flee when the US is forced to exit. All the programs,
"reconstruction" funds, training missions and "civic programs" have
failed to win the allegiance of the Afghan people, now as in the past as
well as in the future, because they are seen as part of the US military
occupation ultimately based on violence.
Ten Reasons Why the Afghan Resistance Will Win:
1.) The Resistance has deep roots in the population – family
community, linguistic and cultural ties which the US does not possess
nor can "invent"; nor can these ties be bought, traded or replicated by
their Afghan 'collaborators' or imposed by propaganda.
2.) The
Resistance has fluid borders and broad international support especially
with Pakistan but also with other anti-imperialist, Islamic groups who
provide arms and volunteers and who engage in actively attacking the
logistical transport supply lines of US-NATO military in Pakistan. They
also pressure overseas US client regimes like Pakistan and Saudi Arabia,
Yemen and Somalia opening multiple fronts.
3.) Widespread
infiltration, voluntary, active and passive support of the Resistance
among the US recruited and trained Afghan military and police results in
crucial intelligence on troop movements. Desertions and absenteeism
undermines "military competence".
4.) The scope and breadth of
Resistance activity over extends the imperial armies at its current
strength and causes it to rely on unreliable Afghan security, who have
no stomach for killing their brethren, especially when directed against
communities with relatives or ethnic kin.
5.) Resistance allies
are more loyal, less corrupt and reliable because of deeply shared
beliefs. US allies are loyal only because of ephemeral monetary
gratification and the temporary presence of US military force.
6.)
The Resistance appeals to the people in the name of a return to law and
order in everyday life, which preceded the disruptive invasion. The US
promise of positive outcomes following a successful war, have no popular
resonance after a decade long destructive occupation.
7.) The
US has no belief system that can compete with the
religious-nationalist-traditionalist appeal of the Resistance to the
vast majority of village, small town and displaced rural population.
8.) The Resistance's support of Iraqi, Palestinian and other
anti-imperialist forces has a positive appeal among the Afghan people
who have seen the destructive results of US wars in Iraq and proxy wars
in Pakistan, Somalia and Yemen. The US backed Israeli assault of Lebanon
and the humanitarian ship destined for Palestine and the highly visible
presence of Zionist militants in the US government, repels the more
politically aware opinion leaders in Afghanistan.
9.) Afghans
have, by force of circumstances, longer staying power in resisting the
US military occupation, than the US people who have other, far more
pressing needs and the US military with growing commitments in the Gulf.
10.) The Afghan Resistance does not normally kill civilians in
combat missions since the US troops and NATO are clearly identified.
Whereas, the opposite is not true. The Afghans who are part of the
villages in occupied communities are subject to assassinations by
"Special Forces" and drone bombings. In these circumstances ordinary
people suffer the same military assaults as Resistance fighters.
A Failed Mission: The Incapacity to Build a Reliable,
Effective Afghan Mercenary Army
A US government audit published in late June of this year
demolished the Obama regime's claims that it is succeeding in building
an effective Afghan mercenary army and police capable of buttressing the
current client regime in Kabul. The Report, based on a detailed
analysis and field observations argues that the Obama Pentagon relies on
"standards [which are] woefully inadequate, inflating the abilities of
Afghan units that Mr. Obama called "core to our mission" (Financial
Times, June 7, 2010, p1). In other words, Obama continues to play the
con game, which he inaugurated during his electoral campaign with his
phony promises of 'change' and "ending the wars", and continued with his
bail out of Wall Street in the name of 'saving the economy'. He
followed up by escalating the war in Afghanistan by sending 30,000 more
troops and increasing military and police expenditures to $325.5
billion, approximately 132% higher than the last year of the Bush
Administration (Congressional Research Service, FY 2010 Supplemental for
Wars … June 2010).
The Obama regime's phony claims of progress
were based on self-serving bureaucratic and technical criteria, rather
than the actual fighting performance and behavior of the Afghan
mercenary army. The military command's reports and progress reports were
based on how many courses were taught, the length and breadth of
training and the amount and quality of arms and equipment supplied to
the Afghan troops. As the number of Afghan units passing the "training
missions" increased from zero to 22, between 2008 - 2009, the Pentagon
claimed extraordinary progress. To correct the errors, the Pentagon has
turned to "field assessments by commanders" – which is also failing,
since the officials have a vested interest in inflating the performance
of the Afghans mercenaries under their command in order to secure
promotions and merit badges. The Obama regime plans to increase the
Afghan military from 97,000 in November 2009 to 134,000 in October 2010,
to 171,000 in October 2011 a 75% increase in two years (Congressional
Research Service 2010, p 13). The same increase occurs with the police:
from 93,800 in November 2009 to 134,000 in October 2011 a 43% increase.
Obama's claim that the war is gradually being handed over to the US
"trained" Afghan army is fully belied by two other basic facts. The
White House has requested $1.9 billion – double the 2009 level under
Bush – for military construction of new bases and installations for a
"long term presence" (which the con-man Obama claims does not mean a
"permanent presence"). Secondly, using the familiar double-talk of the
Obama regime, Secretary of Defense Gates and Admiral Mullen, Chair of
the Joint Chiefs of Staff now argue that Obama's campaign promise of
beginning the retirement of troops in July 2010 really means "a day we
start transitioning … not a date we're leaving", which would be based on
"conditions on the ground … a several year process" (Gates Testimony
before Senate Armed Services Committee, December 2, 2009). In plain
English "transitioning" is not "leaving". It means staying, fighting and
occupying Afghanistan for decades. It means adding more troops,
building more bases. It means spending another $400 billion over the
next 5 years. And it means doubling the number of American soldiers
killed and wounded over the next 3 years, from over seven thousand to
fourteen thousand.
The criteria of 'success' in Afghanizing the
war is belied by the growing Americanizing of the bases, combat troops
and expenditures. The reason is that the Afghan army figures are as
phony as Obama's promises. The number of US personnel is growing because
the Afghan political puppets are so corrupt, ineffective and despised
by their people that Washington has to surround them with "monitors",
"advisers" and "operatives" who in turn are totally incapable of
relating to the needs and practices of the communities. Increased US
"aid" has led to greater corruption, more unfulfilled promises and
greater animosity from the would be popular recipients.
The
fundamental problem is that this is an American war and that is why
Afghan units suffer a 50% reduction of strength due to at a minimum, a
20% desertion rate, admitted by US military officials (Congressional
Research, op cit, p.14). In other words, the Afghan recruits, take the
money and their arms and return to their villages, neighborhoods,
families, and perhaps not a few, use their military training, joining
with the National Resistance. With such high levels of disaffection
among Afghan recruits and even officials it is not surprising that the
Resistance has such high quality intelligence on US troop movements.
Given the degree of disaffection it is not surprising that some of the
US intelligence collaborators are double agents or vulnerable to
exposure and execution. Faced with a billion dollar recruitment program
with high rates of desertion and the "turning of guns on their mentors,"
the White House, Pentagon and Congress refuse to recognize the reality
that the imperial occupations is the source of the resistance of almost
the whole people. Instead they call for more trainees, more funds for
"training programs", more "transparent" mercenary contractors.
The
reality is that with a bigger American occupation, with escalating
military expenditures, the Resistance is growing, surrounding the major
cities, targeting meetings in the center of Kabul and rocketing the
biggest US military bases around the country. It is clear that the US
has lost the war politically and is in the process of losing it
militarily.
Despite the most advanced military technology, the
drones, the Special Forces, the increase in the number of trainees,
advisers, NGOers and the building of more military bases, the Resistance
is winning. The White House by adding to the millions of displaced and
murdered and maimed Afghans is increasing the hostility of the vast
majority of the Afghans. Civilian killings are turning more and more of
their military recruits into deserters and "unreliable" soldiers. Some
of whom are 'turned' into committed combatants for the 'other side'. As
in Indo-China, Algeria and elsewhere, a popular, highly motivated
guerrilla resistance army, deeply embedded in the national-religious
culture of an oppressed population is proving more resistant, enduring
and victorious over an alien high tech imperial army. Obama's 'rule or
ruin' Afghan War, sooner rather than later, will ruin America and end
his shameful presidency.
www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=19758
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